In front of the great waves of the times, people should learn to accept the reality.
With the rising salary cap, NBA has entered the stage of 100 million yuan contract flying everywhere, which is the era when super sixth people can get 100 million yuan. Everyone should get used to that it will be normal to put salary data that once seemed exaggerated into the present and future.
On October 3, Beijing time, the Heat officially announced an early renewal with Taylor-Croal. According to several media reports such as ESPN, this is a four-year non-top salary contract worth 0.13 billion dollars, of which 10 million dollars need to meet the reward terms to get.
Although the contract was not the top salary Croal wanted, the price was enough to satisfy Croal. He sent a picture of “counting money” on social media. Warrior defender Poole forwarded the news of the renewal of the contract on Croal. Congratulations to fellow Wisconsin, at the same time, the intention of shouting warriors to come to talk about the contract price is also obvious.
After getting the contract Croal, Warriors also felt the pressure. The deadline for early renewal was approaching. What kind of contract should they give Poole?
Last season, Poole ushered in a big outbreak. Before Clay Thompson came back, Poole took the lead and performed strongly. After Thompson’s comeback, Poole returned to the bench and the data declined. However, Poole still contributed 18.5 points and 4 assists throughout the season, with a real hit rate of close to the elite line.
In the first playoff game, Poole averaged 17 points and 3.8 assists. In some games, his performance was indeed poor, but when the finals ended, Poole still handed over a real hit rate of 65.4%.
Warriors watched Poole’s value soar. When Poole performed strongly at the beginning of last season, Poole was worth about $15 million to $18 million. In January this year, igodala renewed his contract for Poole. He believed that Poole and Croal belonged to the new Sixth players. They were all players of the starting level. They only played the sixth player because of the needs of their respective teams, their minimum price for renewal is 20 million dollars a year.
After the Warrior won the championship, ESPN labor agreement expert Bobby Marks wrote in the article that according to the data model, the starting salary of Poole Ideal’s renewal is 20.3 million dollars. After the free market was opened, warriors found that contracts with an annual salary of 20 million dollars could not retain Poole at all because the market had changed.
Brunson signed a four-year contract with Knicks for $0.104 billion, and anfanni Simmons renewed the contract with the Pioneers for $0.1 billion for four years. The US media believes that Poole’s new contract will match Brunson and Simmons, and the average annual salary of 25 million dollars is a reasonable price.
After that, Knicks gave Barrett 0.12 billion dollars for 4 years (including reward terms), and Croal received another 0.13 billion dollars for 4 years today. The two of them further raised the market situation of Poole. Today, the market price of Poole has been raised to a starting salary of 30 million dollars.
The reason why NAEP and the four defenders are against each other is that there are many similarities in the styles of these five players in essence, and the strength and performance shown last season are also close. Different high-order data algorithms about player influence have different results, but on the whole, Poole and Brunson were almost the same in last season. Although they got the best sixth person Croal, the average score in the game is the highest among the five, but his influence is not as good as that of Poole and Brunson, and he is not much better than Simmons and Barrett.
Fans like to use “defense” and “team environment” as part of the evaluation criteria when evaluating whether the players’ contracts are at a premium, but in fact, take the four players who renew their contracts before Poole as an example, these did cause them not to get the top salary, but this did not prevent them from getting a high salary. None of the four players is a defensive champion, either a defensive colander or a congenital disadvantage. As for the team environment, Simmons played hot data in the bad team last season. His data was wet, but the Blazers were still willing to give him 0.1 billion dollars.
In other words, the team will use the weakness of the players to lower the price, but the team will also give a reasonable quotation that meets the market price based on the advantages of the players. With the offensive ability and potential of these players, at least in the team’s view, they are worth 100 million yuan in contracts.
After the news of the renewal in advance on Croal came out, several American journalists commented on it. It was generally believed that this was a reasonable contract, and they all mentioned the factor of “wage cap increase.
In the 2023-24 season, the salary cap will rise to 0.134 billion dollars, an increase of 10.34 million dollars compared with the 2022-23 season. In the future, the salary cap will continue to rise. When the alliance signs a new TV broadcasting contract, the salary cap may have a huge increase as in 2016. At that time, the annual salary of 30 million dollars or even 40 million dollars will become the standard annual salary of high-profile starting players, and the annual salary of top-wage players will exceed 50 million dollars or even 60 million dollars.
Therefore, the current strength of players such as Croal may not reach the level of 30 million dollars, but after two or three years, the salary they get may only be the standard for high match of starting players, this is also a big reason why they only signed a four-year contract. They can enter the free market one year earlier and sign a big contract.
John Athletic, The Hollinger expert, has read this question before, and he also said: “For The youngest group of players who are qualified to renew their contracts in advance, it is not a premium for the team to renew the contract with them at almost any price now. It is almost a decision without thinking to give Croal, Poole a top salary or a contract close to the top salary, because the rising wage cap will make most potential risks disappear.”
From the current perspective, the annual salary of more than 30 million US dollars for these players who have not fully proved themselves seems to have brought great salary pressure to the team. Think about it, the annual salary of $40 million in the future may be equivalent to the current $25 million. By then, the team will enjoy the contribution brought by a high-match starting player or even an all-star player at the price of an ordinary starting player.
Therefore, the current situation is very clear. Brunson, Simmons, Barrett and Croal have already made a good example for Poole. If Poole renews in advance now, his contract amount may be the same as that of Barrette and Croal, sign a non-top-salary contract with a four-year value of about US $0.12 billion to US $0.13 billion, including reward clauses.
Of course, if Poole has absolute confidence in the performance of his contract year and believes that he can get the top salary quotation from other teams when he enters the free market as a restricted free player in the offseason next year, he can also suspend the renewal until next year.